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Crown Green Handicap

Roy Lester

Team: Lane Ends CDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

511

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

56

Matches Played

13

Wins

43

Losses

23%

Win Rate

5.5

Avg Win Margin

10.4

Avg Loss Margin

8-18

Home Record

5-25

Away Record

65%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
33 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/2/2025

A solid recent sample: 33 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player4/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 56 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

14 Jun11 Apr29 Aug12 Jun6 Aug7 May16 Jul2 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
18%
score-0.64→contribution-0.25
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
5.3
score-0.44→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.8
score-0.46→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
717
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.585
Sample Size Confidence
65%(33/41 matches)
Rating824 → shrunk 886→ adjusted 536
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)474
Recency Blend40% (33 recent matches)
Final Rating511
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

13W43L56 matches·23.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends C2024–2025Division 33362718.2%
Lane Ends B2022–2023Division 32371630.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/2/2025Geoff HoughtonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025John PickavanceH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2025Kevin CunninghamA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2025Andy LittlerH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2025Anthony SinerA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2025Colin JonesH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025Frank DennettA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2025George BishopH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
7/8/2025Paul LiptrotA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025Tom FrithA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2025Chris LeighH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025Jim McMahonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Colin JonesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2025Ken GreenallH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2025George BishopA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2025Robbie MarshallA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2025Steve GloverH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
9/11/2024Les HattonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
9/4/2024Charlie McFarlaneA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024Anthony PeetA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2024Frank CardwellH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Ken EvansA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Les HattonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 3
7/17/2024Colin JonesH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024Jimmy NolanA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Steve O'BrienA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/26/2024George BishopH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024W PenningtonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/12/2024S DuncanH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024Frank CardwellA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
4/24/2024Mike MulcrowH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
4/17/2024Kevin HighcockA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
4/10/2024P MurphyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
9/19/2023George MarshA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
9/5/2023W PenningtonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Mike TooleH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023David HarrisonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Colin StockleyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023Julian CliffeA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023Peter GeorgesonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/20/2023Les HattonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
4/25/2023Martin JonesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
4/11/2023Peter FreeH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Ken NaylorH2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Rob BallH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Steve GloverA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022John PickavanceH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022John McKnightH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/6/2022D FitzgeraldA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
6/14/2022Tony GreenhalghA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Tim WaineH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022Frank CardwellA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
5/10/2022John McEvoyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022James HopkinsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022Alan KearnsH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Malcolm WattersonA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LLWLLLLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Colin Jones0330%7/30/2025
George Bishop12333.3%7/16/2025
Les Hatton0330%9/11/2024
Frank Cardwell0330%8/13/2024
John Pickavance0220%8/26/2025
Steve Glover202100%4/9/2025
W Pennington0220%6/18/2024
Geoff Houghton0110%9/2/2025
Kevin Cunningham101100%8/19/2025
Andy Littler0110%8/13/2025
Biggest Win
Rob Ball (+16)8/23/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Jimmy Nolan (-19)7/9/2024
Nemesis
Colin Jones0-3 H2H
Best Season
202246% · 13 matches
Worst Season
20246% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
25% → 21%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
70656 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-4323% win rate
Division 323.2%
13W·43L·56 played

Debut

Apr 19, 2022

Latest

Sep 2, 2025

Seasons Active

4 (3.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (56 total)

Seasons

2022202320242025